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Lesson 7: Flats
(3-3-5)
A flat correction differs
from a zigzag in that the subwave sequence is 3-3-5, as
shown in Figures 1-29 and 1-30. Since the first actionary
wave, wave A, lacks sufficient downward force to unfold
into a full five waves as it does in a zigzag, the B wave
reaction, not surprisingly, seems to inherit this lack of
countertrend pressure and terminates near the start of
wave A. Wave C, in turn, generally terminates just
slightly beyond the end of wave A rather than
significantly beyond as in zigzags.
Figure
1-29 Figure 1-30
In a bear market, the
pattern is the same but inverted, as shown in Figures
1-31 and 1-32.
Figure
1-31 Figure 1-32
Flat corrections usually
retrace less of preceding impulse waves than do zigzags.
They participate in periods involving a strong larger
trend and thus virtually always precede or follow
extensions. The more powerful the underlying trend, the
briefer the flat tends to be. Within impulses, fourth
waves frequently sport flats, while second waves do so
less commonly
What might be called
"double flats" do occur. However, Elliott
categorized such formations as "double threes,"
a term we discuss in Lesson 9.
The word "flat"
is used as a catchall name for any A-B-C correction that
subdivides into a 3-3-5. In Elliott literature, however,
three types of 3-3-5 corrections have been identified by
differences in their overall shape. In a regular
flat correction, wave B terminates about at the level of
the beginning of wave A, and wave C terminates a slight
bit past the end of wave A, as we have shown in Figures
1-29 through 1-32. Far more common, however, is the
variety called an expanded flat, which
contains a price extreme beyond that of the preceding
impulse wave. Elliott called this variation an
"irregular" flat, although the word is
inappropriate as they are actually far more common than
"regular" flats.
In expanded flats, wave B
of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level
of wave A, and wave C ends more substantially beyond the
ending level of wave A, as shown for bull markets in
Figures 1-33 and 1-34 and bear markets in Figures 1-35
and 1-36. The formation in the DJIA from August to
November 1973 was an expanded flat correction of this
type in a bear market, or an "inverted expanded
flat" (see Figure 1-37).
Figure
1-33 Figure 1-34
Figure
1-35 Figure 1-36
Figure
1-37
In a rare variation on the
3-3-5 pattern, which we call a running flat,
wave B terminates well beyond the beginning of wave A as
in an expanded flat, but wave C fails to travel its full
distance, falling short of the level at which wave A
ended, as in Figures 1-38 through 1-41. Apparently in
this case, the forces in the direction of the larger
trend are so powerful that the pattern becomes skewed in
that direction. It is always important, but particularly
when concluding that a running flat has taken place, that
the internal subdivisions adhere to Elliott's rules. If
the supposed B wave, for instance, breaks down into five
waves rather than three, it is more likely the first wave
up of the impulse of next higher degree. The power of
adjacent impulse waves is important in recognizing
running corrections, which tend to occur only in strong
and fast markets. We must issue a warning, however. There
are hardly any examples of this type of correction in the
price record. Never label a correction prematurely this
way, or you'll find yourself wrong nine times out of ten.
Running triangles, in contrast, are much more
common, as we'll see in Lesson 8.
Figure
1-38 Figure 1-39
Figure
1-40 Figure 1-41
Next Lesson:
Triangles
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