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Lesson 9: Corrective
Combinations
Double and Triple
Threes
Elliott called sideways
combinations of corrective patterns "double
threes" and "triple threes." While a
single three is any zigzag or flat, a triangle is an
allowable final component of such combinations and in
this context is called a "three." A double or
triple three, then, is a combination of simpler types of
corrections, including the various types of zigzags,
flats and triangles. Their occurrence appears to be the
flat correction's way of extending sideways action. As
with double and triple zigzags, each simple corrective
pattern is labeled W, Y and Z. The reactionary waves,
labeled X, can take the shape of any corrective pattern
but are most commonly zigzags.
Combinations of threes
were labeled differently by Elliott at different times,
although the illustrative pattern always took the shape
of two or three juxtaposed flats, as shown in Figures
1-45 and 1-46. However, the component patterns more
commonly alternate in form. For example, a flat followed
by a triangle is a more typical type of double three, as
illustrated in Figure 1-47.
Figure
1-45 Figure 1-46
Figure
1-47
A flat followed by a
zigzag is another example, as shown in Figure 1-48.
Naturally, since the figures in this section depict
corrections in bull markets, they need only be inverted
to observe them as upward corrections in bear markets.
Figure
1-48
For the most part, double
threes and triple threes are horizontal in character.
Elliott indicated that the entire formations could slant
against the larger trend, although we have never found
this to be the case. One reason is that there never
appears to be more than one zigzag in a combination.
Neither is there more than one triangle. Recall that
triangles occurring alone precede the final movement of a
larger trend. Combinations appear to recognize this
character and sport triangles only as the final wave in a
double or triple three.
Although different in that their angle of trend is
sharper than the sideways trend of combinations, double
and triple zigzags can be characterized as non-horizontal
combinations, as Elliott seemed to suggest in Nature's
Law. However, double and triple threes are different
from double and triple zigzags, not only in their angle
but in their goal. In a double or triple zigzag, the
first zigzag is rarely large enough to constitute an
adequate price correction of the preceding wave. The
doubling or tripling of the initial form is typically
necessary to create an adequately sized price
retracement. In a combination, however, the first simple
pattern often constitutes an adequate price correction.
The doubling or tripling appears to occur mainly to
extend the duration of the corrective process
after price targets have been substantially met.
Sometimes additional time is needed to reach a channel
line or achieve a stronger kinship with the other
correction in an impulse wave. As the consolidation
continues, the attendant psychology and fundamentals
extend their trends accordingly.
As this section makes
clear, there is a qualitative difference between the
number series 3 + 4 + 4 + 4, etc., and the series 5
+ 4 + 4 + 4, etc. Notice that while impulse waves have a
total count of 5, with extensions leading to 9, 13 or 17
waves, and so on, corrective waves have a count of 3,
with combinations leading to 7 or 11 waves, and so on.
Triangles appear to be an exception, although they can be
counted as one would a triple three, totaling 11 waves.
Thus, if an internal count is unclear, the analyst can
sometimes reach a reasonable conclusion merely by
counting waves. A count of 9, 13 or 17 with few overlaps,
for instance, is likely motive, while a count of 7, 11 or
15 with numerous overlaps is likely corrective. The main
exceptions are diagonal triangles of both types, which
are hybrids of motive and corrective forces.
Orthodox Tops and
Bottoms
Sometimes a pattern's end
differs from the associated price extreme. In such cases,
the end of the pattern is called the "orthodox"
top or bottom in order to differentiate it from the
actual price high or low that occurs intra-pattern. For
example, in Figure 1-11, the end of wave 5 is the
orthodox top despite the fact that wave 3 registered a
higher price. In Figure 1-12, the
end of wave 5 is the orthodox bottom. In Figures 1-33 and
1-34, the starting point of wave A is the orthodox top of
the preceding bull market despite the higher high of wave
B. In Figure 1-47, the end of wave Y is the orthodox
bottom of the bear market even though the price low
occurs at the end of wave W.
This concept is important
primarily because a successful analysis always depends
upon a proper labeling of the patterns. Assuming falsely
that a particular price extreme is the correct starting
point for wave labeling can throw analysis off for some
time, while being aware of the requirements of wave form
will keep you on track. Further, when applying the
forecasting concepts that will be introduced in Lessons
20 through 25, the length and duration of a wave are
typically determined by measuring from and projecting
orthodox ending points.
Reconciling Function
and Mode
In Lessons 3 and 4, we
described the two functions waves may perform (action and
reaction), as well as the two modes of structural
development (motive and corrective) that they undergo.
Now that we have reviewed all types of waves, we can
summarize their labels as follows:
The labels for
actionary waves are 1, 3, 5, A, C, E, W, Y and Z.
The labels for
reactionary waves are 2, 4, B, D and X.
As stated earlier, all reactionary
waves develop in corrective mode, and most actionary
waves develop in motive mode. The preceding sections have
described which actionary waves develop in corrective
mode. They are:
waves 1, 3 and 5 in
an ending diagonal,
wave A in a flat
correction,
waves A, C and E in
a triangle,
waves W and Y in
double zigzags and double corrections,
wave Z in triple
zigzags and triple corrections.
Because the waves listed
above are actionary in relative direction yet develop in
corrective mode, we term them "actionary
corrective" waves.
As far as we know, we have
listed all wave formations that can occur in the price
movement of the broad stock market averages. Under the
Wave Principle, no other formations than those listed
here will occur. Indeed, since the hourly readings are a
nearly perfectly matched filter for detailing waves of
Subminuette degree, the authors can find no examples of
waves above the Subminuette degree that cannot be counted
satisfactorily by the Elliott method. In fact, Elliott
Waves of much smaller degree than Subminuette are
revealed by computer generated charts of minute-by-minute
transactions. Even the few data points (transactions) per
unit of time at this low a degree are enough to reflect
accurately the Wave Principle of human behavior by
recording the rapid shifts in psychology occurring in the
"pits" and on the exchange floor. All rules
(which were covered in Lessons 1 through 9) and
guidelines (which are covered in Lessons 1 through 15)
fundamentally apply to actual market mood, not its
recording per se or lack thereof. Its clear
manifestation requires free market pricing. When prices
are fixed by government edict, such as those for gold and
silver for half of the twentieth century, waves
restricted by the edict are not allowed to register. When
the available price record differs from what might have
existed in a free market, rules and guidelines must be
considered in that light. In the long run, of course,
markets always win out over edicts, and edict enforcement
is only possible if the mood of the market allows it. All
rules and guidelines presented in this course presume
that your price record is accurate. Now that we have
presented the rules and rudiments of wave formation, we
can move on to some of the guidelines for successful
analysis under the Wave Principle.
Next Lesson: The
Guideline of Alternation
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